Southeast Asian Affairs 2014

Southeast Asian Affairs 2014
[Whole Publication, ISBN: 9789814517966], by Daljit Singh, author

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THE REGION

The Quest for Regional and Domestic Stability, by Joseph Liow Chinyong, Rajni Gamage, authors see abstract

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Southeast Asian Economies: Waiting for a Rebound, by Sanchita Basu Das, author see abstract

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Southeast Asia and the Major Powers: Engagement not Entanglement , by Malcolm Cook, author see abstract

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Southeast Asian states and ASEAN are benefitting from a historic period of great power engagement in the region. The United States, Japan, India and China each are enhancing their relations in the region bilaterally, through ASEAN and through larger regional groupings including Southeast Asian states. Much of the commentary of this historic moment has fretted over the risks of Southeast Asia’s small and medium-sized powers and ASEAN becoming entangled in major power competition.  This chapter focuses on the benefits for Southeast Asian states of this enhanced great power engagement, the limited risk of this feared entanglement and how this simultaneous great power engagement precludes Chinese or American regional dominance. More can be merrier for Southeast Asian states if they appreciate and take advantage of the opportunities this enhanced engagement offer them individually and collectively.  <style> </style>

ASEAN: Managing External Political and Security Relations, by Termsak Chalermpalanupap, author see abstract

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US-China Relations: Managing Differences Remains an Urgent Challenge, by Bonnie Glaser, author

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BRUNEI DARUSSALAM

Brunei in 2013: Paradoxes in Image and Performance?, by Christopher B Roberts, author see abstract

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CAMBODIA

Cambodia in 2013: The Winds of Change, by Khatharya Um, author see abstract

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For a Cambodia that has revealed few surprises over the last two decades, 2013 proved to be a year of unprecedented volatility. The political landscape of 2013 was fraught with tension in Thai-Cambodia relations over the contested Preah Vihear temple and post-election upheavals that locked the country in a yet-to-be resolved political impasse and threatened to derail the country’s heretofore impressive economic growth. Along with persisting conflicts and violence over land grabs, labour exploitation and environmental degradation, corruption, weak system of accountability and transparency, and general elusiveness of the rule of law continue to undermine democratization. Meanwhile, the Khmer Rouge Tribunal creaked along amidst deaths of surviving Khmer Rouge leaders, scandals, charges of political interference, and chronic funding deficit. King Norodom Sihanouk’s cremation in February 2013 marked the end of an era, evoking an ever-looming question about the role and future of the monarchy in Cambodia.

INDONESIA

Indonesia in 2013: Anticipating 2014, by Ulla Fionna, Siwage Dharma Negara, Hui Yew-Foong, authors see abstract

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Terrorism in Indonesia: A Fading Threat?, by Sidney Jones, Solahudin, authors see abstract

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LAOS

Laos in 2013: International Controversies, Economic Concerns and the Post-Socialist Rhetoric of Rule, by Simon Creak, author see abstract

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MALAYSIA

Malaysia in 2013: Najib's Pyrrhic Victory and the Demise of 1Malaysia, by James Chin, author see abstract

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Malaysia's Dilemma: Economic Reforms but Politics Stay the Same, by Abdillah Noh, author see abstract

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The outcome of Malaysia’s 13th general election gave markets a huge relief. Markets were looking for more economic reforms and continuity of policies and the newly installed government did not disappoint. The year saw the Barisan Nasional-led government introducing hard but necessary fiscal reforms. Despite the willingness of the new administration to adopt market-friendly policies the same cannot be said of Malaysia’s readiness to forego its brand of politics. The chapter will describe that as much as Malaysia could witness further economic reform the urgency to fire-fight ethnic issues and to win political points could force law-makers to forego necessary reforms for populist ones which will add more damage to ethnic relations.

MYANMAR

Myanmar in 2013: Integration and the Challenge of Reform, by Maitrii Aung-Thwin, author see abstract

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<span style="font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"" lang="EN-SG"></span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%; font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;mso-ansi-language:EN-SG;mso-fareast-language:EN-US;mso-bidi-language: AR-SA" lang="EN-SG"></span>The sweeping reforms that were introduced by Myanmar’s Thein Sein administration upon taking office maintained much of their momentum in 2013. Political space expanded, economic liberalization persisted, and direct foreign investment reached new heights. Fresh socio-economic policies were initiated to address the immediate needs of rural communities.  Earlier optimism connected to securing a nation-wide ceasefire accord amongst the country’s ethnic groups was offset by the amplification of communal tensions, sectarian violence and the rise of ultra-nationalists in some parts of the country.  The influx of foreign capital into the country created new economic opportunities but also lubricated pre-existing tensions amongst local interests, the central government, and foreign investors.  Enduring internal divisions amongst traditional stakeholders further complicated efforts to generate national reconciliation. The extension of the state into rural areas — and corresponding friction from local authorities — represents a broader pattern of centre-periphery dynamics that has characterized state-society relations in Myanmar.

Navigating the Economic Reform Process, by Nick J Freeman, author see abstract

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THE PHILIPPINES

The Philippines in 2013: Popular President Confronts Daunting Challenges, by Renato Cruz De Castro, author see abstract

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The Southern Philippines in 2013: One Step Forward, One Step Back, by Bryony Lau, author see abstract

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SINGAPORE

Singapore in 2013: The Times They are a-Changin', by Norman Vasu, author see abstract

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Overall, 2013 saw major socio-political domestic issues seizing newspaper headlines. Domestic events have been so jarring to the Singaporean soul that some have even taken to describing such events as characteristic of a nation undergoing a mid-life crisis – a period normally consumed by introspection and evaluation, where life goals are reassessed and the valued as well as values are reascribed. Effectively, as exposed by issues such as the debate generated by the White Paper, the evolving social compact, the shifting political ground and the development of a more vocal citizenry, the year may be best described as annus mirabilis where Singaporeans began to contend with the question of what kind of nation they want to be.<br><br><style><!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cordia New"; panose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0; mso-font-charset:222; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-format:other; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:16777217 0 0 0 65536 0;} @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:auto; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:3 0 0 0 1 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:auto; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-520092929 1073786111 9 0 415 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0cm; margin-right:0cm; margin-bottom:8.0pt; margin-left:0cm; line-height:107%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Cordia New"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi; mso-ansi-language:EN-SG;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; font-size:11.0pt; mso-ansi-font-size:11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size:11.0pt; font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Cordia New"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi; mso-ansi-language:EN-SG;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:8.0pt; line-height:107%;} @page WordSection1 {size:612.0pt 792.0pt; margin:72.0pt 90.0pt 72.0pt 90.0pt; mso-header-margin:36.0pt; mso-footer-margin:36.0pt; mso-paper-source:0;} div.WordSection1 {page:WordSection1;} -Overall, 2013 saw major socio-political domestic issues seizing newspaper headlines. Domestic events have been so jarring to the Singaporean soul that some have even taken to describing such events as characteristic of a nation undergoing a mid-life crisis – a period normally consumed by introspection and evaluation, where life goals are reassessed and the valued as well as values are reascribed. Effectively, as exposed by issues such as the debate generated by the White Paper, the evolving social compact, the shifting political ground and the development of a more vocal citizenry, the year may be best described as annus mirabilis where Singaporeans began to contend with the question of what kind of nation they want to be.<br><br>Overall, 2013 saw major socio-political domestic issues seizing newspaper headlines. Domestic events have been so jarring to the Singaporean soul that some have even taken to describing such events as characteristic of a nation undergoing a mid-life crisis – a period normally consumed by introspection and evaluation, where life goals are reassessed and the valued as well as values are reascribed. Effectively, as exposed by issues such as the debate generated by the White Paper, the evolving social compact, the shifting political ground and the development of a more vocal citizenry, the year may be best described as annus mirabilis where Singaporeans began to contend with the question of what kind of nation they want to be.<br><br> </style>

Challenges Facing the SIngapore Economy, by Manu Bhaskaran, author see abstract

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THAILAND

Thailand in 2013: Haunted by the History of a Perilous Tomorrow, by Nicholas Farrelly, author see abstract

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Thailand's Southern Insurgency, by Matthew Wheeler, author see abstract

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TIMOR-LESTE

Timor-Leste in 2013: Charting Its Own Course, by Michael Leach, author see abstract

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2013 proved a signal year in Timor-Leste’s political history, as the country transitioned from more than a decade of international state-building and peacekeeping assistance. Much was at stake in this transition, given the departure of the UN Integrated Mission in Timor-Leste (UNMIT) peacekeepers and the Australian-led International Stabilisation Force (ISF) in late 2012. The withdrawal of the earlier UNMISET mission in 2005 had quickly proved precipitous, as the country descended into the 2006 political-military crisis, and UN peacekeepers hastily returned. With these legacies in the background, Timor-Leste’s government in 2013 sought to chart a new course for the country beyond the era of international state-building. This chapter reviews key developments in Timor-Leste’s politics in 2013, including progress in key areas of political stability, democratic consolidation, economic performance, and development indicators. It also reviews the year in foreign affairs, which closed on a controversial note as allegations of Australian espionage saw Timor-Leste challenge a major oil revenue-sharing treaty in The Hague. <style><!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cordia New"; panose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0; mso-font-charset:222; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-format:other; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:16777217 0 0 0 65536 0;} @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:auto; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:3 0 0 0 1 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:auto; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-520092929 1073786111 9 0 415 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0cm; margin-right:0cm; margin-bottom:8.0pt; margin-left:0cm; line-height:107%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Cordia New"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi; mso-ansi-language:EN-SG;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; font-size:11.0pt; mso-ansi-font-size:11.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size:11.0pt; font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Cordia New"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi; mso-ansi-language:EN-SG;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:8.0pt; line-height:107%;} @page WordSection1 {size:612.0pt 792.0pt; margin:72.0pt 90.0pt 72.0pt 90.0pt; mso-header-margin:36.0pt; mso-footer-margin:36.0pt; mso-paper-source:0;} div.WordSection1 {page:WordSection1;} --2013 proved a signal year in Timor-Leste’s political history, as the country transitioned from more than a decade of international state-building and peacekeeping assistance. Much was at stake in this transition, given the departure of the UN Integrated Mission in Timor-Leste (UNMIT) peacekeepers and the Australian-led International Stabilisation Force (ISF) in late 2012. The withdrawal of the earlier UNMISET mission in 2005 had quickly proved precipitous, as the country descended into the 2006 political-military crisis, and UN peacekeepers hastily returned. With these legacies in the background, Timor-Leste’s government in 2013 sought to chart a new course for the country beyond the era of international state-building. This chapter reviews key developments in Timor-Leste’s politics in 2013, including progress in key areas of political stability, democratic consolidation, economic performance, and development indicators. It also reviews the year in foreign affairs, which closed on a controversial note as allegations of Australian espionage saw Timor-Leste challenge a major oil revenue-sharing treaty in The Hague. </style>

VIETNAM

Vietnam in 2013: Domestic Contestation and Foreign Policy Success, by Carlyle A. Thayer, author see abstract

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